Pato Oward has been knocking on the door to an Indianapolis 500 victory during his short career, finishing 6th, 4th and 2nd. He will start fifth in the 2023 Indianapolis 500 starting grid on Sunday, the same spot as last year’s winner, Marcus Ericsson. O’Ward is the 5-1 favorite in the odds for the 2023 Indianapolis 500 in Caesars Sportsbook, while Erickson is 11-1. Should you include either of these in your 2023 Indianapolis 500 bets? Other contenders for the 2023 Indy 500 include Alex Ballou (23-4), Scott Dixon (7-1) and Alexander Rossi (9-1).
Palou starts on pole for Sunday’s race at 12:45 p.m. ET, but the pole vaulter has only won that race once in the last 13 years. Before researching the 2023 Indy 500 starting grid and making any 2023 Indianapolis 500 predictions, make sure that See the latest 2023 Indianapolis 500 picks from SportsLine’s pinned drop model.
Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this auto racing prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors like track record and recent results.
McClure’s model is off to an exciting start in NASCAR this season, already taking a Martin Truex Jr. Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano’s Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch’s Fontana win (10-1) and Denny Hamlin’s win at Kansas ( 6-1) and Kyle Larson at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, she listed Tyler Reddick as one of her best values and he went on to win with a 10-1. It also impressively tallied five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. Finally, the Model has 12 huge winners since 2021. Anyone who has followed his lead on those NASCAR picks has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated the 2023 Indianapolis 500 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine for the full anticipated 2023 Indy 500 leaderboard.
Best 2023 Indianapolis 500 predictions
One surprise: Form is up at Colton Herta, even though it’s shooting 20-1 in the last odds at the 2023 Indianapolis 500. It’s a target for anyone looking for a mega-payer. He is a rising star in the sport, and has become the youngest driver to win an IndyCar race and series. Herta is also a two-time Rolex 24 in the Daytona class and has posted a triple top-10 finish this season.
The 23-year-old has had a tough 2022 season, which has created value for him as a long stroke at the start of the 2023 campaign. He’s already had a top-ten finish in the Indy 500 during his career and has a solid chance of competing again this week. His father, Brian Herta, is a former driver who raced for Chip Ganassi, Team Rahal, Forsyth and others, and took two wins at Laguna Seca. Find out who to refer to at SportsLine.
And a massive shocker: Pato Oward, the Vegas favorite at 5-1, is faltering massively and doesn’t even crack the top five. O’Ward was the 2020 Indy 500 Rookie of the Year after finishing sixth and doing well every year. But after leading 26 laps in last year’s race, and even with Erickson going into turn one on the last lap, O’Ward finished second.
That second place would be a harbinger of the 2023 IndyCar Series, as O’Ward has three finishers but no wins. He has failed to win in the last 10 races, but Arrow McLaren’s drought runs longer at The Brickyard. O’Ward’s team has never won an Indy 500, despite having a 45 starter since 2001. O’Ward always finds a way to compete, but history isn’t on his side in terms of winning on Sunday. Much better values are in the 2023 Indy 500 starting grid. Learn about other drivers to avoid on SportsLine.
HOW TO MAKE THE 2023 INDIANAPOLIS 500 SELECTIONS
Model is also targeting other drivers with 2023 Indy 500 chances of 15-1 or greater to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who supports these drivers can hit it big. You can see all of the expected Indy 500 leaderboards over at SportsLine.
So who will win the 2023 Indy 500? And what are the long shots that rush to the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2023 Indianapolis 500 odds below, then Visit SportsLine now to see the predicted 2023 Indianapolis 500 leaderboard, all from the model that has correctly predicted 12 winners since 2021..
2023 Indianapolis 500 Odds (via Caesars Sportsbook)
See our full 2023 Indy 500 picks at SportsLine
Pato Oward (5-1)
Alex Ballou (23-4)
Scott Dixon (7-1)
Alexander Rossi (9-1)
Rinus Vichai (10-1)
Marcus Ericsson (11-1)
Takuma Sato (11-1)
Felix Rosenqvist (12-1)
Josef Newgarden (14-1)
Scott McLaughlin (15-1)
Santino Ferrucci (15-1)
Willpower (16-1)
Tony Kanaan (17-1)
Colton Herta (20-1)
Kyle Kirkwood (25-1)
Conor Daly (30-1)
David Mallukas (40-1)
Romain Grosjean (45-1)
Graham Rahal (50-1)
Simon Pagenaud (50-1)
Ed Carpenter (50-1)
Helio Castroneves (55-1)
Ryan Hunter RE (60-1)
Marco Andretti (60-1)
Benjamin Pedersen (75-1)
Christian Lundgaard (100-1)
Jack Harvey (200-1)
Augustin Canabino (250-1)
Callum Elliott (250-1)
RC Enerson (300-1)
Devlin DiFrancesco (300-1)
Katherine Legge (300-1)
Stingray Rob (300-1)
Indianapolis 500 starting grid
Row 1 – Scott Dixon, Rinus Vicki, Felix Rosenqvist
Row 2 – Santino Ferrucci, Patou Oward, Scott Dixon
Third row – Alexander Rossi, Takuma Sato, Tony Kanaan
Row 4 – Marcus Erickson, Benjamin Pedersen, Will Bauer
Fifth Row – Ed Carpenter, Scott McLaughlin, Kyle Kirkwood
Grade 6 – Connor Daly, Joseph Newgarden, Ryan Hunter-Rey
Row 7 – Romain Grosjean, Hélio Castroneves, Colton Herta
Row 8 – Simon Pagenaud, David Malloucas, Marco Andretti
9th grade – Devlin DeFrancesco, Agustín Canapino, Callum Ilott
Grade 10 – RC Enerson, Kathryn Legge, Christian Lundgaard
Grade 11 – Sting Ray Rob, Jack Harvey, Graham Rahal