American elections. Polls – Which groups does Kamala Harris have the most chances in?

CNN notes that the polls are too early to capture the dynamics of the rapidly changing US election campaign, especially after Joe Biden dropped out of the race on Sunday. However, the station presented an analysis of the survey conducted in late June, after Biden’s presidential debate with Donald Trump but before the Democrat’s resignation. At the time, voters were only asked hypothetically about Kamala Harris’ candidacy, but — according to the station — the results could provide clues about how support for her candidacy might evolve.

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Overall, Harris was at 45 percent in the CNN poll. Support for Trump against 47 percent, which is within the margin of statistical error (which is assumed to be 3 percentage points – Ed.), meanwhile Biden lost against Trump by six percentage points.

Harris outperformed Biden in this survey among women – She had 50 percent support against Trump (43 percent), while Biden only got 44 percent. compared to 47 percent for Trump. This was especially supported by women living in the suburbs – 55%. compared to 39 percent for Trump. Among men, Trump was ahead by about 10 percentage points. Advantage regardless of whether his opponent is Harris or Biden.

Harris excelled among the masses They do not support any party – 43 percent supported it, and 40 percent Trump, Biden received 34%. compared to 44 percent for Trump. among whom Still undecided who to vote for, 47 percent indicated they would choose Harris — 34% chose Trump. Meanwhile, Biden fared significantly worse among this group — he had 37%. compared to 39 percent for Trump.

The current vice president has better support than Trump Non-white voters – 58 percent compared to 29 percent for Trump, although Biden also did relatively well here – 54%. Up to 33 percent However, when only non-white women are taken into account, Harris’s support increases to 63%, while Biden’s support is 10 percentage points lower.

She did slightly better than Biden Among the youth Voters, Democrats worry during these elections. Among those under 35, 42 percent favored Harris, and 41 percent favored Trump, compared to 41 percent for Biden. compared to 47 percent for Trump.

At the same time, 53 percent of survey respondents admitted to having an unfavorable opinion of Harris, and 32 percent said they had a favorable opinion. 15 percent said they hadn’t heard about it or didn’t know enough about it to answer. Of those who still don’t have a specific opinion of the US vice president, 57 percent, however, in the survey, only 22 percent support it. Trump, according to the station, is referring to what they learn in the future about how these voters will vote and whether this knowledge will motivate them to stick with the Democratic Party.

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“USA Today” cites several surveys conducted over the past few days that show swing states, which are states without a clear advantage for Democrats or Republicans. They are often considered crucial to election results.

From an Insider Advantage survey conducted on July 15 and 16 Arizona Kamala Harris had 42 percent support there. compared to 48 percent for Trump. The Atlanta Journal-Constitutional referendum was held in the state from July 9-18 Georgia representing 46 percent. Support for Harris and 51 percent. Support Trump. The poll was conducted for the Detroit Free Press Michigan July 13-17 shows Trump at 46% in this state. Support, and Harris 41 percent. From the InsiderAdvantage study Nevada On July 15-16, Harris had 40 percent and Trump 50 percent. IN North Carolina No poll included Kamala Harris, but in a July 15-16 Emerson College poll, Trump had 47% and Biden 38%. IN Pennsylvania, according to public policy polls from July 17 and 18, Harris had 43% and Trump 45%. From the Cviqs survey conducted from July 13 to 16 Wisconsin It showed Harris and Trump each at 48 percent. Support.