Of course, the money is there – in America and Europe. A Russian offensive on all fronts will embolden Ukraine's partners Opening wallets – No matter how cynical it is. Political issues can be dealt with – I have no doubt about that.
Also on purpose Weapons Various possibilities arise. If the war continues for a few more years, military-industrial centers in the US and EU countries will have time to start production and turn a profit. A protracted war might be profitable for Ukraine's allies — though, again, it might seem cynical.
However, NATO strategists did not take into account the most important thing: who will fight with the new weapon?
They believe (and there are reasons for this) to supplement the Ukrainian armed forces. A matter only for Ukrainians.
The most important need, the main threat
I don't know that Ukraine will last another two years. At present, mobilization is becoming a critical need and at the same time, a major threat to the country's internal stability. Contrary to appearances, it is not about controversies in the military or political leadership, hypothetical presidential elections or corruption – but about conducting an effective mass mobilization.
They exist in the world Three approaches to mobilization.
First, conscientious citizens can voluntarily join the army to protect their country, their city, their home. At the beginning of the Russian invasion, a similar scene played out in Ukraine.
Second, people who want to join the military want to make a lot of money – despite the risks. At present some vacancies in the army are thus filled.
Third, citizens subject to general conscription are forcibly conscripted into the army. This scene is currently becoming a trend in Ukraine.
Ozge Elif Kizil / PAP
Ukrainian soldier in Donetsk, December 2023.
Conditions for effective mobilization
We cannot say that one approach is best, so preference should be given. Of course, the motivation of volunteers is immense. But who are they? were killed or seriously injured In the first months of the war. We saw this in Ukraine.
Perhaps this ProfessionalsThose who fight under contract are the best warriors. But their numbers were not large enough to sustain a full-scale war for long.
Recruits who join the army must suddenly become warriors. Otherwise, they will not live in the forefront. Yes, they are not prone to heroism and sacrifice. They are often captured by enemies. But as history shows, victories in great wars are achieved at the expense of the mobilized.
However, mobilization is effective only if these conditions are met Three conditions.
First, there is mobilization Social justice. It should cover all sections of society equally. There is no division into “whites” and “blacks”, no Bribes and excuses.
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The death sentence was postponed
Secondly, Physical condition and natural predispositions of the mobilized should be taken into account while appointing them to different branches of the armed forces. Men over fifty cannot be storm troopers, a Drone control Not reserved for the young.
Third, they will be sent ahead before being mobilized, and they will have to stay Properly trained and equipped At government expense. We need guarantees that mass mobilization will not turn into a suspended death sentence – as it is being felt in Ukraine today.
Failure to meet these three conditions or doing the entire process incorrectly will result in the following: Inevitable mobilization will not save the country. Instead, it becomes a destructive force leading to mass protests. Such a scenario would lead to Ukraine's disarmament and submission to the Russian Federation.
To those who believe that the Russian Federation wants to create a paradise on earth after occupying Ukrainian territories, I remind you: the purpose of the invasion Complete destruction of Ukraine By exterminating the Ukrainians. The Kremlin did not hide it. First, he wants Ukraine to surrender. That's when the real horror begins.
