“The military situation around Bagmut is dangerous for the Russians,” say experts from the Institute of War Studies (ISW). In a recent report, they say the Russian narrative is focusing too much on the city’s claims to divert attention from the problems.
“More focus Pakmutil declared victory distracts from The dangerous military situation of the Russians in and around Bagmut,” the US think tank said in a statement.
Analysts say the attack by Russian troops was already on its own Climax. Now the Russians are vulnerable to Ukrainian counterattacks on the flanks.
The Wagner Group withdraws
Yevgeny Prigozhin is the owner of Wagner Group On May 20, it announced that its forces had captured the city. Now he has released that information Troops should be withdrawn by June 1. The break for reconstruction and training is expected to last Two months.
Prigozhin said on Saturday that his forces would surrender the city Thursday at the hands of the Russian army.
The Wagnerians are losing strength
“Putin’s Cook” He mentioned that he did not plan to send his men until two months ago.
According to experts from HEIs, that is unlikely Prigozhin’s fighters would fight anywhere but Buckmutt Due to “severe fatigue and the peak of their offensive abilities”.
WATCH: Yevgeny Prigozhin announces capture of Bagmut. There is an answer from Ukraine
“The two-month reconstruction period announced by Prigozhin could do without the participation of the Wagner Group Key moments of the Ukrainian counterattackDepending on where and how it starts.
On Monday, Deputy Defense Minister of Ukraine Hanna Malar said this Bagmuth has not yet been captured by Russian forcesBecause Ukrainian forces still control a small part of the city.
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